</font><blockquote><font class="small">In reply to:</font><hr />
Sorry to rain on your parade but in 200 years mankind on this dirt ball will likely be living hand-to-mouth because the current, unchecked population explosion worldwide is going to outpace the ability to produce food.
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Of course, that comment was made tongue-in-cheek, but if you want to be mind-numbingly literal, be my guest. But your rebuttal is nonsense. I've been hearing those same predictions probably for longer than you've been alive.
Kid, they've been pedaling this same doomsday scenario for the past 30 years. On the very first Earth Day in 1970 a local TV station in New York ran a mock version of their 10 PM news show set in the distant year of 1990. It depicted an Earth barren of resources, horribly polluted and over populated to the point of food rationing in the United States. Scared the hell out of me.
At the time the population was something around three and a half billion and all the predictions were that the Earth could not physically support a population in excess of 5 billion. Well, we're way past that and people aren't starving because there is a lack of food. People are starving, sad to say - but not because there isn't enough food. They are starving because there isn't enough food where they are - and that is almost entirely the result of wars (civil and otherwise) and other deliberate political decisions. Food production has kept up just fine, thank you very much. Hell, in this country we're still subsidizing farmers not to grow food. And if agriculture in India were operating at the efficiency acheived by Japan in the fifteenth century, the subcontinent would be self-sufficient in foodstuffs. Again, the problem is bad politics, and bad incentives, not limits to resources.
So, did the assholes responsible for that show run a retraction when 1990 came along and none of their predictions came true? Of course not, they were too busy selling the next round of "anti-science" fueled scare stories being prommulgated by the Safety Nazis.
I don't understand what the environmental movement is so pissed off about anyway. According to them, Humans are a kind of infectious disease, screwing up our lovely pristine planet. They should be delighted if we wipe ourselves out. And make no mistake - wiping ourselves out would be about the limit of our ability. We might take a few more species with us if we got really stupid, but not all that many in the grand scheme of things. Wipe out the planet? Not a chance. We couldn't do that if we wanted to, and if we spent the next hundred years devoting all our energies to acheiving that goal. Life is damned tough. If we lit off every nuke in the world tomorrow, the Earth would hardly notice. Life would continue, evolve, produce new forms.
But I don't think we're going to do anything like that. Of course we only have one planet, and of course a rational plan for protecting habits, maximizing resources and the like is important. And countries (like the U.S., which has led the world in the reduction of polution and in the technologies that make that possible) will do so. They just won't throw the baby out with the bathwater in pursuit of idiotic, emotional, knee-jerk schemes based on cooked statistics and dishonest studies produced by "scientists" with preconceived notions and an ax to grind. And because of this, we'll increase food production and help reduce population pressure, and avoid the kind of end-of-the-world scenario that the doomsayers, in various guises, have been foisting off on the general public for the past several thousand years.
(BTW, do you know the best, most effective population reduction program ever invented? It's called "capitalism" Wealthy societies with free markets, better educated populations and more working women were reducing their birthrates even before the introduction of artificial birth control. Political and economic freedom for women - as opposed to massive government programs or child rationing - is the best, most painless and most benign way to achieve this worthy goal. The answer isn't to make the rich nations poorer, but to make the poor nations richer. The key to that is technology.)
Regards,
Joe