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Old June 20th 21, 21:44   #18
Moonface
Ranger
 
Join Date: Jun 2021
Posts: 78
Re: Shadows, Vorlons, and... math?

Quote:
Originally Posted by NorrinRadd View Post

2 Shadows > 1 Vorlon

2 PPG rifles > 2 Shadows

1 Vorlon > multiple PPG rifles and more

The math doesn't work out. It's worse than Rock-Paper-Scissors-Lizard-Spock.
I know I'm new here and normally I wouldn't come storming in and starting correcting people on the internet, but as a statistician my heart bleeds reading this last line, so I have to say something about it:

Let's consider Rock-Paper-Scissors
Rock beats Scissors
Scissors beat Paper
Paper beats Rock.

now: lets replace Rock with Vorlons, Scissors with PPG technology and Paper with Shadows, then we get:
Vorlons beat PPGs
PPgs beat Shadows
Shadows beat Vorlons

So it's not "worse" than Rock-Paper-Scissors, it's the very definition of it.

One can even define a system where Rock does not win against Scissors all the time, but most of the time (and the same being true for the other combinations)

Let's take 3 dice, each having 6 sides, but no numbers on them.
Paint the first die with the numbers 2, 2, 2, 5, 5, 5
the second one with 1, 4, 4, 4, 4, 4
and the third with 0, 3, 3, 3, 6, 6

that yields the following behavior:
A beats B, but not always, only 58.3% of the time.
the same is true for B vs C, and again für C vs. A

So it is feasible to have a system, where everyone can win against everyone, if they are lucky enough, but "normally" A wins vs B, B wins vs. C and C wins vs. A

P.S.: Please don't take this as a criticism of your interesting analysis of the scenes, I just had a bone to pick with the line "worse than rock-paper-scissors"
Moonface is offline   Reply With Quote