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-   -   Has There Been Any News Re. The New B5 ~2016+~ Theatrical Movie? (http://www.b5tv.com/showthread.php?t=42589)

JoeD80 August 5th 16 14:50
Re: Has There Been Any News Re. The New B5 ~2016+~ Theatrical Movie?
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by JonFrain (Post 456715)
Not really, I'm saying your reason has zero evidence and as usual you act like you know everything.
When this is where you set the level of conversation I have no reason to respond.

Jan August 5th 16 20:16
Re: Has There Been Any News Re. The New B5 ~2016+~ Theatrical Movie?
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by JonFrain (Post 456714)
I know you keep up with his statements of recent years where I only catch snippets here and there. All I remembered was that he would write it in 2016, film in 2017 and use his own studio. I think the budget he quoted was $100 or $120 million? I'd say anything over $50 million would be too much to invest on a B5 film as even Ghostbusters couldn't ride it's name to profits with a $140 million or so budget.
At the risk of acting 'like I know everything', the original plan was to write it in 2015 and produce in 2016. And he intended (intends?) to invite WBs participation if they want in.

A hundred million seems perfectly in line with the line he drew in the sand that there'd be no more low-budget B5 projects.

As for Ghostbusters? Looking at IMDb (pro), the budget is estimated at $144MM and in three weeks they've grossed almost $110MM in the USA alone. I don't think there's any doubt it's going to make money.

Jan

JonFrain August 5th 16 20:58
Re: Has There Been Any News Re. The New B5 ~2016+~ Theatrical Movie?
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jan (Post 456724)
Quote:
Originally Posted by JonFrain (Post 456714)
I know you keep up with his statements of recent years where I only catch snippets here and there. All I remembered was that he would write it in 2016, film in 2017 and use his own studio. I think the budget he quoted was $100 or $120 million? I'd say anything over $50 million would be too much to invest on a B5 film as even Ghostbusters couldn't ride it's name to profits with a $140 million or so budget.
At the risk of acting 'like I know everything', the original plan was to write it in 2015 and produce in 2016. And he intended (intends?) to invite WBs participation if they want in.

A hundred million seems perfectly in line with the line he drew in the sand that there'd be no more low-budget B5 projects.

As for Ghostbusters? Looking at IMDb (pro), the budget is estimated at $144MM and in three weeks they've grossed almost $110MM in the USA alone. I don't think there's any doubt it's going to make money.

Jan
LOL. Only Joe comes across that way.

They only make about 50% of the ticket gross and when you add in advertising costs (close to the same amount as the actual budget) they need to gross $400-$500 million to break even on GB.

JonFrain August 5th 16 20:59
Re: Has There Been Any News Re. The New B5 ~2016+~ Theatrical Movie?
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by JoeD80 (Post 456723)
Quote:
Originally Posted by JonFrain (Post 456715)
Not really, I'm saying your reason has zero evidence and as usual you act like you know everything.
When this is where you set the level of conversation I have no reason to respond.
If that's how you want to avoid the obvious hole in your WB infighting theory, sure.

Jan August 5th 16 21:23
Re: Has There Been Any News Re. The New B5 ~2016+~ Theatrical Movie?
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by JonFrain (Post 456725)
LOL. Only Joe comes across that way.
Actually, I tend to agree with him. I had *no* idea what kind of 'evidence' you were looking for as to reasons why WB doesn't make licenses available. We know, from reputable reports, that they don't any longer. What difference does it make why?

Quote:
They only make about 50% of the ticket gross and when you add in advertising costs (close to the same amount as the actual budget) they need to gross $400-$500 million to break even on GB.
Uh-huh. And the figure I quoted was for the US only for only three weeks. The books are hardly closed on it yet.

JonFrain August 5th 16 23:13
Re: Has There Been Any News Re. The New B5 ~2016+~ Theatrical Movie?
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jan (Post 456727)
Quote:
Originally Posted by JonFrain (Post 456725)
LOL. Only Joe comes across that way.
Actually, I tend to agree with him. I had *no* idea what kind of 'evidence' you were looking for as to reasons why WB doesn't make licenses available. We know, from reputable reports, that they don't any longer. What difference does it make why?

Quote:
They only make about 50% of the ticket gross and when you add in advertising costs (close to the same amount as the actual budget) they need to gross $400-$500 million to break even on GB.
Uh-huh. And the figure I quoted was for the US only for only three weeks. The books are hardly closed on it yet.
I just pointed out the holes in Joe's theory and he didn't like it apparently based on his response saying I was stuck in my own theory. The actual reason for WB stopping with licensing is interesting to speculate on.

As far Ghostbusters goes, they keep losing 40-50% on previous weeks sales numbers for that day which doesn't bode well for breaking even since they don't have China to bail them out like the Warcraft movie did. And we're talking about a MAJOR franchise in Ghostbusters which sells itself to a certain extent. Companies don't make movies to break even anyway.

Serenity is a better model to follow and it had a much more limited budget, wasn't nearly as long after the series ended and had Joss Whedon attached. Barring a major casting coup for a B5 film, it's just not a great gamble for investors at the price tag Joe is looking at.

Plus, the strength of the B5 story was its epic, serialized nature. George RR Martin turned down a film deal because of how much would have to be cut. Movies can't do what long running serialized dramas can in terms of epic payoffs. The B5 standalone films really didn't stand up very well, other than ITB which was strongly tied to the series arcs.

Jan August 5th 16 23:32
Re: Has There Been Any News Re. The New B5 ~2016+~ Theatrical Movie?
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by JonFrain (Post 456729)
I just pointed out the holes in Joe's theory and he didn't like it apparently based on his response saying I was stuck in my own theory. The actual reason for WB stopping with licensing is interesting to speculate on.
I have no idea what you're talking about anymore. Whatever holes you perceive, I guess you'll have to declare yourself a winner. Me, I'm still scratching my head over asking for 'evidence' of some sort.

JonFrain August 6th 16 09:19
Re: Has There Been Any News Re. The New B5 ~2016+~ Theatrical Movie?
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jan (Post 456730)
Quote:
Originally Posted by JonFrain (Post 456729)
I just pointed out the holes in Joe's theory and he didn't like it apparently based on his response saying I was stuck in my own theory. The actual reason for WB stopping with licensing is interesting to speculate on.
I have no idea what you're talking about anymore. Whatever holes you perceive, I guess you'll have to declare yourself a winner. Me, I'm still scratching my head over asking for 'evidence' of some sort.
Joe said:

"My understanding is that it is related to WB having many different competing branches. B5 was part of the PTEN branch and the show was produced independently of the WB studio (by Joe & Doug's studio); there is probably no branch in WB left to support it."

Which to me doesn't make sense as PTEN wasn't an issue for all of the merchandising and spinoffs that occurred after they were out of the picture starting with season 5. I simply asked for any evidence of his theory as there was direct evidence against it.

Anyway it's over. Nobody but WB has the actual reasons why they stopped licensing after the RPG went under. I simply made placed a couple of theories that weren't directly contradicted by the past.

Jan August 6th 16 17:45
Re: Has There Been Any News Re. The New B5 ~2016+~ Theatrical Movie?
 
From what JMS has said a number of times recently, the licenses start at a hundred grand plus a cut of the proceeds. I think that's plenty of 'evidence' right there.

JonFrain August 6th 16 20:26
Re: Has There Been Any News Re. The New B5 ~2016+~ Theatrical Movie?
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jan (Post 456736)
From what JMS has said a number of times recently, the licenses start at a hundred grand plus a cut of the proceeds. I think that's plenty of 'evidence' right there.
evidence of infighting causing problems?

It was spurred by the statement that Big Finish being told that WB wasn't offering licenses at all.

Can we please just let this go and move on? Let Joe defend himself if he feels the desire.


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